Global Environmental Futures

 

 

Below are relevant readings provided by the conference organizers and participants.

Conference Organizers:

Pulver, Simone and Stacy VanDeveer (2007). "Global Environmental Futures Interrogating the Practice and Politics of Scenarios." Background paper presented at conference "Global Environmental Futures - Interrogating the Practice and Politics of Scenarios," Providence, RI, March 23-24, 2007

Raskin, Paul. et al. 2005. Global Scenarios in Historical Perspective. In Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Scenarios - Findings of the Scenarios Working Group Millennium Ecosystem Assessment Series, edited by Steve Carpenter, Prabhu Pingali, Elena Bennett, and Monika Zurek, 35-44.  Washington, DC: Island Press.
http://www.maweb.org/documents/document.326.aspx.pdf

Reid, Walter. 2006. Millennium Ecosystem Assessment: Survey of Initial Impacts. Millennium Ecosystem Assessment.

Conference Participants:

Mike Hulme:

Hulme, Mike and Suraje Dessai. Under Review. "Negotiating future climates for public policy: a critical assessment of the developemnt of climate scenarios for the UK."

Jonathan Koomey:


Arthur, W. Brian. 1990. "Positive Feedbacks in the Economy." In Scientific American. February. pp. 92-99.

Craig, Paul, Ashok Gadgil, and Jonathan Koomey. 2002. "What Can History Teach Us?  A Retrospective Analysis of Long-term Energy Forecasts for the U.S."  In Annual Review of Energy and the Environment 2002. Edited by R. H. Socolow, D. Anderson and J. Harte. Palo Alto, CA: Annual Reviews, Inc. (also LBNL-50498). pp. 83-118.

DeCanio, Stephen J. 2003. Economic Models of Climate Change:  A Critique. Basingstoke, UK: Palgrave-Macmillan.

Ghanadan, Rebecca, and Jonathan Koomey. 2005. "Using Energy Scenarios to Explore Alternative Energy Pathways in California."  Energy Policy.  vol. 33, no. 9. June. pp. 1117-1142.

Koomey, Jonathan. 2002. "From My Perspective:  Avoiding "The Big Mistake" in Forecasting Technology Adoption."  Technological Forecasting and Social Change.  vol. 69, no. 5. June. pp. 511-518.

Koomey, Jonathan G., Paul Craig, Ashok Gadgil, and David Lorenzetti. 2003. "Improving long-range energy modeling:  A plea for historical retrospectives."  The Energy Journal (also LBNL-52448).  vol. 24, no. 4. October. pp. 75-92.

Koomey, Jonathan G. 2005. "Book review of Stephen J. DeCanio's book 'Economic models of climate change:  A critique'."  Ecological Economics.  vol. 55, no. 1. October 5. pp. 131-132.

Laitner, John A. "Skip", Stephen J. Decanio, Jonathan G. Koomey, and Alan H. Sanstad. 2003. "Room for Improvement:  Increasing the Value of Energy Modeling for Policy Analysis."  Utilities Policy (also LBNL-50627).  vol. 11, no. 2. June. pp. 87-94.

Edward Parson:

Parson, Edward A. et al. 2007. Global Change Scenarios: Their development and use. Synthesis and Assessment Product 2.1b.  Washington, DC: US Climate Science Program.

Nebojsa Nakicenovic:

Nakicenovic, Nebojsa et al. 2000. Special Report on Emissions Scenarios: A Special report of Working Group III on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc/emission/






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